Project-Specific Financial Modelling

Every successful financing process starts with a solid model. We build cash flow-based financial models tailored to the specifics of each project—whether in energy, industrial production, or large-scale infrastructure. These models simulate the full project lifecycle, from capital investment and operational ramp-up to loan repayment and residual value.

Key modelling features include:

• Granular revenue and cost structures supported by horizontal and vertical financial analysis
• Integration of macroeconomic assumptions based on third-party research from reputable international and local institutions
• Detailed funding structure, identifying the precise timing of cash needs and repayment capacity
• Collaborative development with project sponsors, ensuring operational accuracy and internal ownership

Stress Testing and Scenario Planning

We test every model under multiple conditions to assess resilience. This includes:

• Base Case: A realistic projection grounded in verified assumptions
• Downside Case: Stress testing for delays, cost overruns, interest rate hikes, or revenue shortfalls
• Upside Case: Modelling improved performance or market expansion
• These scenarios provide banks with clarity and confidence in the project’s ability to weather volatility.

Bank-Ready Structuring and Positioning

Our models are built from a lender’s perspective. Drawing on our experience with local and international financial institutions, we tailor models to address key credit committee criteria—such as:

• Debt service coverage ratios (DSCR)
• Loan tenors and grace periods
• Reserve account structuring (DSRA, maintenance reserves)
• Sensitivity triggers and break-even thresholds

 

We ensure that the model and accompanying narrative answer the question: “Is this project fundable—and under what conditions?”

Lender Engagement and Financing Execution

Beyond the modelling, we play an active role in executing the financing process. We:

• Present the project’s financial and strategic case directly to banks
• Engage credit teams with clear, concise, and bank-aligned documentation
• Address lender queries and refine inputs during due diligence
• Assist in negotiating terms and coordinating documentation
• Support until financial close

 

Our strong relationships with regional and global banks as well as international development finance institutions (DFIs) allow us to align the financing package with the project’s timeline, capital structure, and long-term goals.